Our housing-market-implosion-induced financial meltdown has prompted a rethinking by increasing numbers of researchers and policymakers of how we approach housing policy in the U.S. The concerns and implications are both personal and societal. Much of the angst has arisen from the stratospheric increase in home mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures. A recent NY Times feature series traces the sad tale of one short cul-de-sac in Moreno Valley, California, where “over the last two years, half of Beth Court has been in foreclosure, and homes whose owners took out thousands of dollars in equity during the bonanza years are now worth less than half the price paid for them.”
Probably like most everyone, I personally know people who have lost their homes or are at serious risk of doing so. Besides the obvious financial drain, there are social and emotional costs of losing a home and having to move. The consequences are not just personal, of course, as declining property values mean reduced property tax revenue for local governments and the credit meltdown contributes to rising unemployment and overall insecurity in financial markets: a truly vicious cycle.
What surprised me most during the early stages of the meltdown was the, well, surprise with which policymakers, economic and financial “experts,” and the media reacted. It wasn’t as if plenty of researchers, analysts, activists and even some policymakers hadn’t been sounding alarm bells about the dangers of the housing boom. Even my 2004 dissertation highlighted the dangers of subprime lending for minority and low-income communities (further evidence that no one besides those who have to read those things…).
Now that things have (hopefully) stabilized somewhat, some are questioning whether the American-Dreamy promotion and prioritization of home ownership is in the best interest of society. U Penn Historian and Sociologist Thomas Sugrue had an interesting piece in the Wall Street Journal titled, “The New American Dream: Renting.” Sugrue traces how home ownership became so intertwined with American mythology:
The story of how the dream became a reality is not one of independence, self-sufficiency, and entrepreneurial pluck. It’s not the story of the inexorable march of the free market. It’s a different kind of American story, of government, financial regulation, and taxation.
We are a nation of homeowners and home-speculators because of Uncle Sam.
The mortgage interest tax deduction has helped subsidize increasing home ownership rates and suburbanization in the U.S., but also costs the federal government tens of billions of dollars in revenue. In a 2005 article in Shelterforce, Peter Dreier highlights the disparities in how homeowners and renters fare in help from the government:
Of the hundreds of tax breaks (what economists call “tax expenditures”) for corporations and individuals in the nation’s tax code, the largest are the subsidies for homeowners. The two major homeowner tax breaks cost the federal government almost $90 billion last year – $70.1 billion for the mortgage interest deduction and $19.3 billion for the property tax deduction – according to a report by the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation. That would be ok if most of it helped middle- and working-class people. But it doesn’t. Those with the highest incomes and the most expensive homes (including second homes) get the largest subsidy.
Most Americans think that federal housing assistance is a poor people’s program. In fact, less than one-fourth of all low-income Americans (those who have Section 8 rental vouchers or who live in government-assisted developments) receive federal housing subsidies. In contrast, almost two-thirds of wealthy Americans – many living in mansions – get housing aid from Washington.
Even the sacred cow of mortgage deduction has come under attack and been subjected to possible revision by the federal government. Even though, having bought a town home several years ago, I benefit greatly from this federal subsidy, I have to agree with Thomas Sugrue that “if there’s one lesson from the real-estate bust of the last few years, it might be time to downsize the dream, to make it a little more realistic.” Or, I might add, at least make access to it a little more equal.
One of the things you need to keep in mind is that you can’t overgeneralize these trends. I heard about a year about that about 80% of the foreclosures occurred in only about 39 counties — many on the West coast. So, when you’re talking about a “real-estate bust,” you’re probably talking most about California — there wasn’t as much of a boom (and so not as much of a bust) in much of mid-America.
That being said, this shows the dangers of government trying to set “housing policy.” If you don’t give folks a deduction, then folks will argue that the government is standing in the way of lower and middle income consumers owing their own homes. But, if you grant the deduction, folks will argue that the government is discriminating again non-homeowners.
Here’s a thought. How about folks only buying homes they can afford? They put 20-25% down, get a 15-year mortgage, make an extra payment every year and pay it off early. Then, all the money they were putting towards home ownership can then go to savings or establishing a higher standard of living.